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Thursday, January 15, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Central Arkansas Bears

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 12 pts ceded/game

Final Results

As predicted

Droughts

~21

-1

Pts Ceded

~1211

-1

Jacksonville Dolphins

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:49

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 19 pts ceded/game

Final Results

~ Worse than predicted

Droughts

~23

+1

Pts Ceded

~1920

+1

Central Arkansas Bears averages 2 droughts/game  · Jacksonville Dolphins forces 1 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

4

Both teams combined

Central Arkansas Bears Droughts

1

Jacksonville Dolphins Droughts

3

Longest Drought

6:14

Central Arkansas Bears

Drought Point Swing

31

Total unanswered points during droughts

Central Arkansas Bears Drought Impact

1 drought11 unanswered points allowed

11.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Jacksonville Dolphins Drought Impact

3 droughts20 unanswered points allowed

20.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Central Arkansas Bears

Central Arkansas Bears

1
1st Halfcritical

Score: 1114 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: Luke Moore makes 30-foot three point jumper (Malchiah Marable assists)

3-Pointer

6:14

20.7 opp pts

Jacksonville Dolphins

Jacksonville Dolphins

3
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 2627 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Chris Lockett Jr. makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

4:46

15.2 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 5254 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Evan Sterck makes layup

2-Pointer

3:26

13.2 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 5557 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Donovan Rivers makes 3-foot dunk

2-Pointer

3:16

8.9 opp pts