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Thursday, February 12, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Missouri State Bears

High confidence

3

est. droughts

4:06

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 23 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Much better than predicted

Droughts

~31

-2

Pts Ceded

~234

-19

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

High confidence

3

est. droughts

3:40

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 16 pts ceded/game

Final Results

~ Worse than predicted

Droughts

~33

+0

Pts Ceded

~1621

+5

Missouri State Bears averages 2 droughts/game  · Louisiana Tech Bulldogs forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

4

Both teams combined

Missouri State Bears Droughts

1

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Droughts

3

Longest Drought

4:44

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

Drought Point Swing

25

Total unanswered points during droughts

3 droughts21 unanswered points allowed

21.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Missouri State Bears Drought Impact

1 drought4 unanswered points allowed

4.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Missouri State Bears

Missouri State Bears

1
2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 6768 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Zaxton King makes free throw 2 of 2

Free Throw

3:43

11.2 opp pts

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

3
2nd HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 5859 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Scooter Williams makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

4:44

18.3 opp pts

2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 6264 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Avery Thomas II makes layup

2-Pointer

4:19

11.5 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 46 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Avery Thomas II makes 18-foot pullup jump shot

2-Pointer

3:16

15.5 opp pts