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Saturday, January 17, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

High confidence

3

est. droughts

3:48

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 18 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Better than predicted

Droughts

~32

-1

Pts Ceded

~187

-11

Missouri State Bears

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:06

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 18 pts ceded/game

Final Results

~ Worse than predicted

Droughts

~23

+1

Pts Ceded

~1819

+1

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders averages 2 droughts/game  · Missouri State Bears forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

5

Both teams combined

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Droughts

2

Missouri State Bears Droughts

3

Longest Drought

3:28

Missouri State Bears

Drought Point Swing

26

Total unanswered points during droughts

2 droughts7 unanswered points allowed

7.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Missouri State Bears Drought Impact

3 droughts19 unanswered points allowed

19.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

2
1st Halfnotable

Score: 3436 · Opponent scored 2 pts

Ended by: Torey Alston makes driving layup

2-Pointer

3:08

9.1 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 4951 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Torey Alston makes 1-foot dunk

2-Pointer

3:02

11.8 opp pts

Missouri State Bears

Missouri State Bears

3
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 6465 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Keith Palek III makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:28

14.5 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 4749 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Keith Palek III makes 18-foot jumper (Zaxton King assists)

2-Pointer

3:26

12.5 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 2628 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Michael Osei-Bonsu makes layup

2-Pointer

3:00

13.5 opp pts